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Jim Davidson's avatar

One of the many things I did in grad school was design marketing surveys. It matters if you have a random sample. That's one reason I don't run polls on the web sites and platforms like Substackistan and Twitter. No such poll has useful information because the sample cannot be random. And people don't much like that fact so they ignore it.

You also need to have a representative sample. If you take a random sample of a thousand people and all of them have doctorate degrees from Ivy League schools and you are tryna say what to expect from the world population, your results will be off base. Idiotic.

So the polls have a methodology. If you take the time to look, you find out that they are not really good at getting a random and representative sample. Self selection error is a thing.

Now, about the election in Arizona. I will tell you what happened. All the people who voted for the Republican candidate for one office voted also for Kari Lake for governor. Then the election officials deleted any record of about two hundred thousand of the votes for Lake and declared victory for Hobbs. I believe that it can be proven. But so what? The filthy demon worshippers are not going to stop lying about it. And it takes years to prove anything in court, which is by design.

The system works really well for the people who profit from it. They have lots of tools for keeping it working for them and against you and me and other good people. So there isn't any point in voting.

I won't vote in your poll. I won't vote in November. It is possible to win our freedom. But not by voting.

OGRE's avatar

My poll is completely scientific, and has a very low margin of error! Haha!

No, I know what you mean. I just did it because the whole post was about polling. I figured why not?

AZ was a complete joke, because Katie Hobbs certified herself. It's like the FBI investigating itself -- and amazingly finds no wrongdoing.

I am going to vote, because I think with some of the local races it still makes a difference. Also, my voting precinct is within walking distance from my house!

Decode the World's avatar

No one can vote their way out of this situation, that's true!

OGRE's avatar

Many people in California and New York have finally figured that out. They're voting with their feet. Lots of them are moving here to Florida.

Often people worry that those fleeing blue states are going to move to a red state, and turn it blue, but I don’t think that’s the case. At least not to the extent that it once was.

Consider, many of those people were voting conservative -- wherever they came from. But that was never reflected in the vote count. Those leftist havens that are losing people are still not showing completely blue majorities. That's because conservative votes were suppressed in leftist havens sometimes for decades.

Are we to believe that there was a “Red Wave” in Florida, including transplant voters? Supposedly the same people who voted to destroy where they came from?

There is a national divorce happening right now, and it doesn’t require militarization.

I can guarantee that there are more people who want to leave California than are able to at this time. They will leave, when they get the chance.

Moving is a big deal for most people, so I don't think they come to that decision lightly, and retrospective thought is almost certain to take place in the process.

Laggy's avatar

Polls are

Biased✅

Fake✅

Ghey✅

Decode the World's avatar

Internal Dem polling shows a disaster in the making. Fake it til you make it is their mantra.

Public polls are all fake. Anyone with access to the phone spy machine will tell you exactly what the real score is. You should assume everything else is phony.

OGRE's avatar

Polls are designed to sway public opinion and make people believe that other people see Kamala as viable. That alone is enough to drive some NPCs to feel better, and stop questioning things.

NPCs follow the herd, or in this case, the “perceived” herd. The fake herd. But once enough of the dupes sign on, it becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.

However, I don't think that's as much the case anymore. Younger people are not falling for this. That's why the left is losing the younger vote.

The left used to be all about freedom of speech and whatnot — now they're the polar opposite. This has happened within the lifespan of many younger people, who are old enough to see it play out.

That's why the left is losing with the public, not just in the US, but all over the world.

It used to be that prior generations sacrificed for future generations. “Make the world a better place,” and all that — but that has been flipped 180 degrees. People are “getting theirs” while they can, and the next generation will just have to figure things out on their own.

It's THAT flip, I believe, that's driving the younger people to stop and look around. Younger people are being made to pay it BACKWARD, because those before them stopped paying it FORWARD.

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Sep 21, 2024
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OGRE's avatar

Didn't they do "ranked choice voting" in Alaska this go-round?

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Sep 22, 2024
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Laggy's avatar

It’s all that oil baby